DavidBets

Every book. Every prop. Before kickoff.

Who's actually suiting up, where the books disagree, and which numbers are sitting in your favor this week.

ProvenBetter prices across books: +3.22 pts of break-even, 17 books, 2025.

ProvenProjections beat a last-3-game average by 8–13% on held-out 2025.

UnprovenMiddles: positive-EV rows are rare and unconfirmed across seasons.

No edgeModel picks vs. closing lines: −5.95% over 2025. Not shown as picks.

UnprovenEvidence-backed plays: about break-even when tested on seasons the rules never saw (+0.6%).

Informational model output, not betting advice. Lines move — confirm every number in your sportsbook before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.